Forecasters say the storm could become a hurricane before landfall Tuesday
August 4, 2008
Source: Houston Chronicle
A storm that appeared
as a blip on the Gulf Coast radar late last week could reach
hurricane strength before it bears down, possibly on the southeast
Texas coast, by Tuesday morning.
Tropical Storm Edouard may intensify into a Category 1 hurricane
by the time it makes landfall, meteorologists said.
The fast-building storm leaves residents and emergency officials
little time to prepare for the high winds and heavy rainfall.
"Since it's come up so quickly and so close to the coast,
it's not going to be like (Hurricane) Dolly where we were watching
it for a week," said Chris McKinney, a meteorologist for
the National Weather Service. "People need to take it seriously
and allow the possibility that it could be a low-end hurricane."
The National Hurricane Center issued a hurricane watch late
Sunday for the coasts of western Louisiana and eastern Texas.
Edouard had maximum sustained winds near 50 mph with higher
gusts at 7 a.m. CDT today. The storm's center was located about
80 miles south-southwest of Grand Isla, La., and 285 miles east-southeast
of Galveston. It was moving west near 8 mph and was expected
to strengthen before making landfall Tuesday morning.
As unrelated thunderstorms drenched parts of Houston on Sunday
night, officials from around the region started planning for
possible flooding, wind damage and power outages from the tropical
storm.
Harris County Judge Ed Emmett had just boarded a plane for a
conference in St. Louis when news of Edouard reached him Sunday
afternoon. He got off the plane to help Houston buckle down
for the storm.
This would be the second major storm to strike Texas in two
weeks. Hurricane Dolly roared into South Texas with 100 mph
winds on July 23, dumping a foot of rain near the Texas-Mexico
border. The storm did extensive damage on South Padre Island
and left more than 100,000 homes without power.
Lessons from Humberto
Edouard is aimed directly at southeast Texas, with a landfall
likely somewhere between Corpus Christi and the Texas-Lousiana
border. For now, most computer models bring the storm straight
into Galveston Island, but there's typically some error in forecasts
36 hours before landfall.
The storm is expected to bring 2 or 3 inches of rain to most
of the region - more in the coastal communities it hits the
hardest - and considerably more if the system slows.
The storm's winds at landfall are much harder to project. On
Sunday the system developed from a center of low pressure into
a 50 mph tropical storm, and some computer models forecast Edouard
to become a weak hurricane before landfall.
Hurricane forecasters typically have trouble projecting when
hurricanes over the Gulf of Mexico's warm waters will rapidly
intensify, as Hurricane Humberto did last year before striking
Texas.
"Storms never do exactly what we expect. We always prepare
for one level of intensity higher than it is," said Mark
Sloan, coordinator for the Harris County Office of Homeland
Security and Emergency Management.
Galveston County's emergency management coordinator, John Simsen,
said his staff had been watching the disturbance since Friday,
before it coalesced and intensified into a tropical storm. "It
was basically a blob," he said.
Forecasters said the storm was unusual because it developed
in the Gulf out of the same high-pressure system that has brought
oppressive heat to North Texas. Tropical storms typically develop
at sea and take days to get to shore. This one sprang up within
striking distance of the coast. Emergency officials say they
are ready.
"We love to be able to watch the Weather Channel as it
comes off the coast of Africa and moves to the U.S.," said
Sloan. "But a storm can develop within 24 hours and be
right on top of us. We're prepared for those."
Getting ready
There are no evacuation plans set for the region, although Simsen
said coastal Galveston Island residents may want to board up
windows today. Emergency officials urged residents to stock
up on food and flashlights. Officials in Orange, Hardin and
Jefferson counties were keeping a vigilant eye on the storm.
Greg Fountain, emergency management coordinator for Jefferson
County, had been wary of Edouard since it was barely a tropical
depression, having learned a lesson from Hurricane Humberto
last September. Humberto erupted from a Gulf weather disturbance
to a hurricane in less than 18 hours before striking east of
High Island near the Galveston-Chambers county line.
Oil companies with rigs in the Gulf did not signal concern about
the storm Sunday night. "There is no Gulf of Mexico storm
activity affecting ExxonMobil operations," Exxon's Web
site announced.
Shaun Wiggins, a spokesman for Shell Oil, said, "If it
looks like it's headed toward any of our rigs, we would evacuate."
By JENNIFER LATSON



